Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 47.7% vs Sturm 55.2% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 81.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 68.8%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 54.6%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Kuznetsov
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kuznetsov
Sturm
Last 5: Kuznetsov 2-3 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kuznetsov
Sturm
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Kuznetsov
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (927)
56.1% (716)
-8.4%
Power Play
53.5% (71)
67.7% (31)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (71)
51.1% (133)
-11.7%
On power play, Sturm has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kuznetsov is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Sturm
Home
45.9% (534)
55.6% (412)
Away
49.2% (535)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Sturm
P1
44.8%
59.6%
P2
52.1%
52.0%
P3
44.5%
55.5%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |