Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Kuznetsov wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 44.2% vs Sturm 56.1% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 94.8%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 79.4%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 90.0%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 87.0%
87.0%
13.0%
Kuznetsov
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Kuznetsov
Sturm
Last 10: Kuznetsov 3-7 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kuznetsov
Sturm
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
7
Kuznetsov
Sturm
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Kuznetsov
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (8,296)
57.1% (2,719)
-13.2%
Power Play
49.4% (633)
61.3% (62)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (272)
51.0% (498)
-12.8%
On even strength, Sturm has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kuznetsov is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,118).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Sturm
Home
44.8% (4,622)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
43.4% (4,579)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Sturm
P1
43.6%
56.5%
P2
45.8%
54.9%
P3
42.8%
57.4%
OT
43.2%
60.6%
Final 5 min
44.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
44.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |