Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuznetsov 45.6% vs Sturm 59.0% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 83.2%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 70.9%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 78.6%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Kuznetsov
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kuznetsov
Sturm
Last 7: Kuznetsov 1-6 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuznetsov
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
3
Kuznetsov
Sturm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Kuznetsov
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuznetsov
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (613)
60.6% (708)
-16.2%
Power Play
58.8% (68)
61.1% (18)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
56.4% (101)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kuznetsov is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Kuznetsov shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Kuznetsov
Sturm
Home
48.6% (370)
61.6% (451)
Away
41.4% (377)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Kuznetsov
Sturm
P1
44.3%
55.9%
P2
49.6%
58.9%
P3
41.4%
64.6%
OT
42.9%
70.6%
Final 5 min
41.1%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
45.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |