Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chytil wins 37.5% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 45.0% vs Evans 49.8% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Chytil 70.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 79.5%
Neutral zone
Chytil 50.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Chytil
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Chytil
Evans
Last 10: Chytil 5-5 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Chytil
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Chytil
Evans
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (283)
51.3% (739)
-9.3%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
53.3% (15)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.0% (172)
+7.0%
On even strength, Evans has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Chytil is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Chytil shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
Chytil
Evans
Home
42.8% (152)
52.1% (503)
Away
44.0% (159)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Chytil
Evans
P1
44.0%
50.5%
P2
44.4%
47.7%
P3
40.9%
51.3%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |