Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chytil wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 47.3% vs Evans 52.6% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 85.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.2%
Neutral zone
Chytil 58.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Chytil
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Chytil
Evans
Last 7: Chytil 3-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Chytil
Evans
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Chytil
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (503)
54.4% (824)
-7.5%
Power Play
42.1% (57)
66.7% (9)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
48.1% (289)
+51.9%
On penalty kill, Chytil has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Chytil is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Chytil shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Chytil
Evans
Home
49.7% (286)
55.1% (541)
Away
43.9% (278)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Chytil
Evans
P1
47.5%
51.8%
P2
47.1%
53.3%
P3
45.7%
53.8%
OT
50.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
44.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Jake Evans |