Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chytil wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 41.2% vs Evans 51.7% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 74.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 73.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 63.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Chytil
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Chytil
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Chytil
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (579)
54.5% (483)
-14.6%
Power Play
38.3% (47)
58.3% (12)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
43.9% (155)
-3.9%
On power play, Evans has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Chytil is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Chytil shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Chytil
Evans
Home
38.2% (285)
49.4% (336)
Away
41.0% (346)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Chytil
Evans
P1
38.0%
55.8%
P2
42.1%
51.7%
P3
39.2%
48.2%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
39.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |