Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Chytil wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 42.3% vs Evans 52.2% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Chytil 79.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 78.5%
Neutral zone
Chytil 55.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Chytil
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Chytil
Evans
Last 10: Chytil 5-5 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Chytil
Evans
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
5
Chytil
Evans
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Chytil
Evans
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (2,535)
53.8% (3,695)
-11.7%
Power Play
42.2% (206)
60.0% (70)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (24)
47.1% (1,222)
-9.6%
On power play, Evans has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Chytil is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (915).
Chytil shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Chytil
Evans
Home
42.8% (1,337)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
41.4% (1,428)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Chytil
Evans
P1
40.8%
54.0%
P2
43.8%
50.9%
P3
41.4%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
43.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 15:20 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |