Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.0%). Chytil wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 49.5% vs Dowd 49.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 80.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.2%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Chytil
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Chytil
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (114)
51.7% (644)
-3.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
0.0% (2)
+62.5%
On power play, Chytil has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Chytil is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Chytil shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Chytil
Dowd
Home
54.8% (73)
48.6% (451)
Away
40.8% (49)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Chytil
Dowd
P1
43.1%
49.1%
P2
59.5%
47.3%
P3
40.7%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
49.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |