Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Chytil wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 47.3% vs Dowd 49.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 91.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.9%
Neutral zone
Chytil 54.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 77.3%
22.7%
77.3%
Chytil
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Chytil
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Chytil
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (503)
52.2% (835)
-5.3%
Power Play
42.1% (57)
60.0% (10)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
44.0% (350)
+56.0%
On penalty kill, Chytil has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Chytil is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Chytil shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Chytil
Dowd
Home
49.7% (286)
51.5% (619)
Away
43.9% (278)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Chytil
Dowd
P1
47.5%
51.7%
P2
47.1%
51.6%
P3
45.7%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
44.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |