Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Chytil on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Chytil wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 41.2% vs Dowd 50.7% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 75.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 94.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 84.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Chytil
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Chytil
Dowd
Last 8: Chytil 5-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
3
1
Chytil
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Chytil
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
2
1
Chytil
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (579)
55.2% (625)
-15.3%
Power Play
38.3% (47)
57.1% (7)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
38.2% (220)
+1.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Chytil is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Chytil shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Chytil
Dowd
Home
38.2% (285)
53.7% (445)
Away
41.0% (346)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Chytil
Dowd
P1
38.0%
48.8%
P2
42.1%
49.3%
P3
39.2%
54.0%
OT
42.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
38.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
39.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:09 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |