Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Chytil wins 37.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 45.0% vs Dowd 53.3% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 82.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 80.2%
Neutral zone
Chytil 54.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Chytil
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Chytil
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Chytil
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (283)
55.4% (771)
-13.4%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
57.1% (7)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
45.5% (165)
+4.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Chytil is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Chytil shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Chytil
Dowd
Home
42.8% (152)
58.2% (462)
Away
44.0% (159)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Chytil
Dowd
P1
44.0%
55.6%
P2
44.4%
50.5%
P3
40.9%
53.9%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |