Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Chytil wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 40.3% vs Dowd 49.8% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 55.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 86.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 80.9%
19.1%
80.9%
Chytil
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Chytil
Dowd
Last 5: Chytil 4-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Chytil
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
2
0
Chytil
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (470)
50.7% (379)
-11.8%
Power Play
37.8% (37)
64.3% (14)
-26.5%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
46.5% (157)
-34.0%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +34.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Chytil is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Chytil shoots left. Dowd is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Chytil
Dowd
Home
40.1% (272)
53.7% (244)
Away
36.6% (243)
46.6% (307)
By Period
Chytil
Dowd
P1
39.6%
53.6%
P2
34.5%
44.1%
P3
41.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
39.6%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
38.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |