Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Chytil wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 44.6% vs Dowd 55.5% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Chytil 96.0%
Defensive zone
Chytil 64.7%
Neutral zone
Chytil 86.5%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Chytil
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Chytil
Dowd
Last 10: Chytil 3-7 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
2
1
Chytil
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Chytil
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
5
Chytil
Dowd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (290)
58.2% (617)
-14.8%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
71.4% (7)
-41.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
47.2% (144)
-22.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Chytil is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Chytil shoots left. Dowd is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Chytil
Dowd
Home
38.5% (148)
58.4% (399)
Away
46.8% (156)
53.9% (369)
By Period
Chytil
Dowd
P1
37.5%
59.0%
P2
48.2%
56.1%
P3
42.6%
54.6%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 15:44 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 16:27 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |