Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.7% vs Carlsson 37.1% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 56.2%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 68.2%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 56.8%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Nazar
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (19)
34.4% (535)
+2.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
42.9% (21)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.0% (5)
-40.0%
On power play, Carlsson has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Nazar is 31.6% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Nazar shoots right. Carlsson is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Nazar
Carlsson
Home
36.4% (11)
38.6% (254)
Away
27.3% (11)
31.6% (307)
By Period
Nazar
Carlsson
P1
50.0%
35.9%
P2
37.5%
33.8%
P3
12.5%
34.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
31.8%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%