Scouting Report
Frank Nazar holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nazar on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nazar wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.6% vs Carlsson 45.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 56.4%
Defensive zone
Nazar 58.6%
Neutral zone
Nazar 52.3%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Nazar
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Nazar
Carlsson
Last 6: Nazar 5-1 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
3
1
Nazar
Carlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
1
0
Nazar
Carlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
1
0
Nazar
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (533)
45.5% (661)
+1.4%
Power Play
49.2% (132)
46.3% (82)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
25.6% (39)
33.3% (84)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Carlsson has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Nazar is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Nazar shoots right. Carlsson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Nazar
Carlsson
Home
45.0% (329)
42.5% (428)
Away
47.2% (375)
46.4% (399)
By Period
Nazar
Carlsson
P1
47.2%
45.4%
P2
43.1%
39.7%
P3
46.8%
48.5%
OT
75.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |