Scouting Report
Frank Nazar holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Nazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 45.7% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 58.5%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 55.0%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 52.8%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Nazar
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (314)
41.8% (648)
+3.4%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
37.3% (51)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (29)
38.7% (31)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Nazar has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Nazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Nazar shoots right. Carlsson is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Nazar
Carlsson
Home
43.4% (196)
44.5% (362)
Away
45.9% (185)
38.3% (368)
By Period
Nazar
Carlsson
P1
47.3%
46.3%
P2
40.3%
35.1%
P3
46.7%
43.9%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
36.0%▼
48.0%
44.6%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%