Casey Mittelstadt vs Frederick Gaudreau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Gaudreau 50.0% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 67.1%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 63.6%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 67.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Last 5: Mittelstadt 1-4 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
3
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
49.1% (733)
-3.2%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
60.0% (80)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
48.6% (109)
-26.4%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Mittelstadt is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
Home
47.2% (193)
53.0% (483)
Away
42.9% (259)
46.7% (439)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Gaudreau
P1
49.0%
53.5%
P2
45.7%
47.5%
P3
38.8%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
41.7%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.7%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |