Frederick Gaudreau vs Jack McBain
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs McBain 44.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 83.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 63.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 64.4%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Gaudreau
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Gaudreau
McBain
Last 9: Gaudreau 7-2 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
1
Gaudreau
McBain
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Gaudreau
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
4
0
Gaudreau
McBain
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
45.3% (675)
+3.1%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
50.0% (16)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
37.6% (149)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Gaudreau shoots right. McBain is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McBain
Home
51.1% (507)
45.5% (437)
Away
47.4% (508)
42.4% (403)
By Period
Gaudreau
McBain
P1
49.4%
43.5%
P2
47.4%
44.0%
P3
51.2%
45.0%
OT
46.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.4%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:01 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Jack McBain |