Frederick Gaudreau vs Jack McBain
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs McBain 49.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 63.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 55.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 50.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Gaudreau
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gaudreau
McBain
Last 7: Gaudreau 4-3 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
2
3
Gaudreau
McBain
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
51.2% (424)
-2.0%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
46.2% (13)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
27.3% (22)
+18.7%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. McBain is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McBain
Home
47.1% (546)
53.6% (235)
Away
49.4% (551)
46.0% (224)
By Period
Gaudreau
McBain
P1
46.8%
48.6%
P2
46.8%
50.9%
P3
51.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:38 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:38 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:04 | Neutral | Jack McBain |