Frederick Gaudreau vs Jack McBain
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs McBain 50.9% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 62.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 80.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 54.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Gaudreau
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gaudreau
McBain
Last 5: Gaudreau 2-3 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Gaudreau
McBain
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
McBain
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
52.1% (545)
-7.1%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
57.1% (14)
-25.3%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
37.0% (46)
+0.6%
On power play, McBain has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. McBain is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McBain
Home
42.6% (277)
52.2% (289)
Away
42.9% (259)
50.0% (316)
By Period
Gaudreau
McBain
P1
43.8%
52.6%
P2
44.8%
53.6%
P3
39.2%
47.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Jack McBain |