Frederick Gaudreau vs Jack McBain
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs McBain 46.7% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 53.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 61.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 56.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Gaudreau
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
10
(26 meetings)
16
10
Gaudreau
McBain
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
6
2
Gaudreau
McBain
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
4
Gaudreau
McBain
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
8
4
Gaudreau
McBain
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
48.0% (2,298)
+0.7%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
49.0% (51)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
35.7% (308)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Gaudreau shoots right. McBain is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (990).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McBain
Home
49.2% (2,437)
49.0% (1,359)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
44.0% (1,298)
By Period
Gaudreau
McBain
P1
49.7%
46.7%
P2
47.3%
47.5%
P3
49.1%
45.6%
OT
36.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:38 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:38 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:04 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:01 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |