Frederick Gaudreau vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Backlund 49.7% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 65.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 71.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 70.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Gaudreau
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gaudreau
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Gaudreau
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
50.1% (891)
-5.1%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
53.1% (64)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
47.8% (278)
-10.2%
On power play, Backlund has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Backlund
Home
42.6% (277)
48.1% (580)
Away
42.9% (259)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Gaudreau
Backlund
P1
43.8%
45.1%
P2
44.8%
54.7%
P3
39.2%
49.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |