Frederick Gaudreau vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.0%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Backlund 49.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 30-20 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 58.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 61.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 59.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Gaudreau
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
30
(50 meetings)
20
30
Gaudreau
Backlund
Last 10: Gaudreau 1-9 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
9
11
Gaudreau
Backlund
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
7
11
Gaudreau
Backlund
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
8
Gaudreau
Backlund
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
49.7% (13,410)
-1.0%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
51.6% (1,336)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
44.0% (2,446)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Gaudreau shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Backlund
Home
49.2% (2,437)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Gaudreau
Backlund
P1
49.7%
48.5%
P2
47.3%
50.3%
P3
49.1%
48.4%
OT
36.7%
44.1%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:28 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |