Frederick Gaudreau vs Mikael Backlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 50.3%). Look for Gaudreau on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.9% vs Backlund 50.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 50.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 50.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 50.5%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Gaudreau
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Gaudreau
Backlund
Last 9: Gaudreau 4-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
1
Gaudreau
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Gaudreau
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Gaudreau
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (408)
51.0% (1,205)
-2.0%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
59.3% (108)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (114)
42.3% (234)
+6.8%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Gaudreau shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Backlund
Home
50.8% (319)
51.2% (782)
Away
48.7% (228)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Gaudreau
Backlund
P1
53.4%
51.5%
P2
47.4%
49.8%
P3
50.0%
49.9%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |