Frederick Gaudreau vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 44.1% vs Backlund 50.5% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 65.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 70.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 66.2%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Gaudreau
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gaudreau
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Gaudreau
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (315)
51.3% (712)
-5.3%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
52.9% (51)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (85)
47.5% (217)
-15.7%
On power play, Backlund has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Gaudreau shoots right. Backlund is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Backlund
Home
42.9% (217)
49.0% (449)
Away
42.6% (195)
51.8% (531)
By Period
Gaudreau
Backlund
P1
44.2%
46.9%
P2
44.4%
54.7%
P3
39.4%
49.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
42.7%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |