Frederick Gaudreau vs Mikael Backlund
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Backlund 50.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 60.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 50.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 62.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Gaudreau
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Gaudreau
Backlund
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Gaudreau
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
2
Gaudreau
Backlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
51.9% (1,083)
-3.5%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
51.7% (120)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
44.3% (183)
+6.0%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Gaudreau shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Backlund
Home
51.1% (507)
51.9% (673)
Away
47.4% (508)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Gaudreau
Backlund
P1
49.4%
51.4%
P2
47.4%
50.5%
P3
51.2%
51.4%
OT
46.2%
35.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 19:27 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:13 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |