Who wins more faceoffs, Frederick Gaudreau or Ryan O'Reilly?

Ryan O'Reilly leads the head-to-head 9-3 across 12 faceoffs.

What is Frederick Gaudreau's faceoff record against Ryan O'Reilly?

Frederick Gaudreau is 3-9 against Ryan O'Reilly in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 2-7, Defensive 1-1, Neutral 0-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Frederick Gaudreau or Ryan O'Reilly?

Frederick Gaudreau is the predicted winner with a 71.6% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan O'Reilly

Frederick GaudreauR vs Ryan O'ReillyL

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Gaudreau 43.9% vs O'Reilly 54.8% (-12.5%)

H2H factor O'Reilly leads 9-3 in 12 meetings

Offensive zone Gaudreau 65.6%

Defensive zone Gaudreau 92.3%

Neutral zone Gaudreau 84.4%

Result Frederick Gaudreau favored at 71.6%

71.6%

28.4%

Gaudreau O'Reilly

Head-to-Head Record

3 - 9 (12 meetings)

Gaudreau O'Reilly

Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 O'Reilly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: O'Reilly

Gaudreau O'Reilly

9 total

Defensive Zone

Even

Gaudreau O'Reilly

2 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: O'Reilly

Gaudreau O'Reilly

1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Gaudreau

O'Reilly

Edge

Even Strength

45.0% (389)

55.3% (815)

-10.3%

Power Play

31.8% (22)

58.0% (219)

-26.2%

Penalty Kill

37.6% (125)

49.2% (124)

-11.6%

On power play, O'Reilly has a +26.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

O'Reilly shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).

Gaudreau shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (498).

Home / Away

Gaudreau

O'Reilly

Home

42.6% (277)

55.8% (579)

Away

42.9% (259)

54.6% (579)

By Period

Gaudreau

O'Reilly

43.8%

57.5%

44.8%

54.7%

39.2%

54.1%

Final 5 min

46.7%

55.8%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Gaudreau

34.0%▼

44.5%

42.7%

O'Reilly

48.0%▼

54.5%

55.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 19, 2026	2	06:57	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 19, 2026	2	02:12	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 19, 2026	1	09:20	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 19, 2026	1	05:31	Offensive	Frederick Gaudreau
Mar 10, 2026	2	14:25	Neutral	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 10, 2026	2	03:11	Offensive	Frederick Gaudreau
Mar 10, 2026	2	02:51	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 10, 2026	1	19:44	Defensive	Frederick Gaudreau
Mar 10, 2026	1	03:12	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Jan 1, 2026	3	11:43	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Jan 1, 2026	3	08:09	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Jan 1, 2026	1	08:28	Offensive	Ryan O'Reilly

Gaudreau's Profile | O'Reilly's Profile