Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan O'Reilly
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 59.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 58.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 59.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
56.1% (690)
-7.7%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
64.6% (96)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
45.9% (109)
+4.4%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Gaudreau shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Home
51.1% (507)
58.3% (408)
Away
47.4% (508)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
P1
49.4%
57.7%
P2
47.4%
54.8%
P3
51.2%
55.2%
OT
46.2%
45.5%
Final 5 min
45.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |