Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan O'Reilly
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 56.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 84.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 67.1%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Last 10: Gaudreau 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
4
2
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
56.2% (983)
-7.0%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
55.5% (254)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
52.0% (102)
-6.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Home
47.1% (546)
56.2% (697)
Away
49.4% (551)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
P1
46.8%
54.5%
P2
46.8%
55.5%
P3
51.1%
57.1%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 03:49 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |