Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan O'Reilly
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.9% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 65.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 85.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 59.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Last 10: Gaudreau 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
4
2
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (408)
55.0% (1,084)
-6.0%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
56.8% (303)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (114)
40.3% (149)
+8.8%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Gaudreau shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Home
50.8% (319)
54.8% (759)
Away
48.7% (228)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
P1
53.4%
55.3%
P2
47.4%
51.9%
P3
50.0%
54.2%
OT
0.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |