Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan O'Reilly
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 50.0% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 80.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 86.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 80.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 81.9%
18.1%
81.9%
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
4
3
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (733)
56.6% (1,064)
-7.5%
Power Play
60.0% (80)
60.4% (260)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (109)
54.0% (261)
-5.4%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Gaudreau shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
Home
53.0% (483)
54.9% (801)
Away
46.7% (439)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Gaudreau
O'Reilly
P1
53.5%
58.0%
P2
47.5%
56.7%
P3
49.5%
55.4%
OT
37.5%
64.7%
Final 5 min
45.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |