Frederick Gaudreau vs Tomas Hertl
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 50.0% vs Hertl 52.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 69.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 69.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 69.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Gaudreau
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Gaudreau
Hertl
Last 8: Gaudreau 5-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Gaudreau
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (733)
51.6% (1,084)
-2.5%
Power Play
60.0% (80)
61.0% (246)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (109)
44.1% (136)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Gaudreau shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Hertl
Home
53.0% (483)
55.2% (696)
Away
46.7% (439)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Gaudreau
Hertl
P1
53.5%
55.4%
P2
47.5%
54.8%
P3
49.5%
48.9%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:37 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 08:37 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 17:05 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |