Frederick Gaudreau vs Tomas Hertl
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Hertl 54.5% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 87.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 59.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 66.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Gaudreau
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Gaudreau
Hertl
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
5
Gaudreau
Hertl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
1
Gaudreau
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
54.1% (1,117)
-5.7%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
59.8% (296)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
34.4% (32)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Gaudreau shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Hertl
Home
51.1% (507)
54.3% (709)
Away
47.4% (508)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Gaudreau
Hertl
P1
49.4%
51.6%
P2
47.4%
53.6%
P3
51.2%
58.6%
OT
46.2%
45.5%
Final 5 min
45.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:40 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |