Frederick Gaudreau vs Tomas Hertl
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Hertl 55.4% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 75.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 78.8%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 53.5%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Gaudreau
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Gaudreau
Hertl
Last 10: Gaudreau 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Gaudreau
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
4
0
Gaudreau
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Gaudreau
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
54.1% (717)
-4.9%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
61.9% (210)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
58.1% (31)
-12.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Hertl
Home
47.1% (546)
58.1% (492)
Away
49.4% (551)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Gaudreau
Hertl
P1
46.8%
57.1%
P2
46.8%
54.0%
P3
51.1%
56.6%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 07:29 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 06:13 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |