Frederick Gaudreau vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 17-2 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 75.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 84.8%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 79.3%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
17
(19 meetings)
2
17
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Last 10: Gaudreau 2-8 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
12
Gaudreau
Karlsson
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
5
Gaudreau
Karlsson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,745)
51.8% (7,849)
-3.1%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
54.8% (1,048)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (789)
44.2% (1,109)
+2.4%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,473).
Gaudreau shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Home
49.2% (2,437)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
47.8% (2,316)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Gaudreau
Karlsson
P1
49.7%
50.3%
P2
47.3%
51.3%
P3
49.1%
52.4%
OT
36.7%
44.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | William Karlsson |