Frederick Gaudreau vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.3% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 80.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 79.9%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 79.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Last 5: Gaudreau 0-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Gaudreau
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Gaudreau
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (770)
55.3% (897)
-6.9%
Power Play
58.7% (46)
61.1% (113)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (199)
50.8% (132)
-0.5%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Gaudreau shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Home
51.1% (507)
58.6% (560)
Away
47.4% (508)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Gaudreau
Karlsson
P1
49.4%
55.8%
P2
47.4%
55.6%
P3
51.2%
55.7%
OT
46.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2023 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | William Karlsson |