Frederick Gaudreau vs William Karlsson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 79.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 83.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 78.0%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Last 7: Gaudreau 1-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
5
Gaudreau
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
58.6% (597)
-9.4%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
57.9% (57)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
51.9% (52)
-5.9%
On power play, Karlsson has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Home
47.1% (546)
59.6% (344)
Away
49.4% (551)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Gaudreau
Karlsson
P1
46.8%
53.1%
P2
46.8%
62.1%
P3
51.1%
60.1%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | William Karlsson |