Frederick Gaudreau vs William Karlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.9% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 68.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 75.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 56.1%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Gaudreau
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (408)
56.3% (739)
-7.3%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
58.6% (181)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (114)
47.2% (53)
+1.9%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Gaudreau shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Home
50.8% (319)
56.5% (462)
Away
48.7% (228)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Gaudreau
Karlsson
P1
53.4%
57.1%
P2
47.4%
55.2%
P3
50.0%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:07 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |