Frederick Gaudreau vs William Karlsson

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

William Karlsson holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Gaudreau 43.9% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-14.9%)
Offensive zone Karlsson 78.9%
Defensive zone Gaudreau 72.2%
Neutral zone Karlsson 51.9%
Result William Karlsson favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Gaudreau Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
58.5% (135)
-13.5%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
80.0% (5)
-48.2%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
44.4% (18)
-6.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +48.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Gaudreau shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Karlsson
Home
42.6% (277)
63.7% (91)
Away
42.9% (259)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Gaudreau
Karlsson
P1
43.8%
54.4%
P2
44.8%
66.7%
P3
39.2%
51.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%
44.5%
42.7%
Karlsson
64.0%
57.5%
57.6%