Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 47.6% vs Guentzel 50.4% (-6.2%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 51.3%
Defensive zone
Vilardi 66.5%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 52.4%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Vilardi
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (101)
45.0% (20)
+1.5%
Power Play
43.3% (30)
75.0% (4)
-31.7%
On power play, Guentzel has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Vilardi is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Vilardi shoots right. Guentzel is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Guentzel
Home
51.6% (64)
56.3% (16)
Away
40.3% (67)
44.4% (9)
By Period
Vilardi
Guentzel
P1
48.9%
20.0%
P2
42.9%
57.1%
P3
45.2%
80.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
52.0%