Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.9% vs Guentzel 47.4% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 51.3%
Defensive zone
Guentzel 63.4%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 55.3%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Vilardi
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (69)
49.0% (200)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
42.3% (111)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
45.8% (24)
-45.8%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Vilardi is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Vilardi shoots right. Guentzel is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Guentzel
Home
40.8% (49)
48.8% (166)
Away
46.7% (45)
44.4% (169)
By Period
Vilardi
Guentzel
P1
50.0%
46.7%
P2
37.1%
48.5%
P3
43.5%
44.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
43.6%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%