Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 47.9% vs Guentzel 50.0% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 65.9%
Defensive zone
Vilardi 60.7%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 51.5%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Vilardi
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (81)
46.2% (13)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
100.0% (2)
-50.0%
On power play, Guentzel has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Vilardi is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Vilardi shoots right. Guentzel is 28.6% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Guentzel
Home
44.8% (58)
75.0% (8)
Away
47.3% (55)
25.0% (8)
By Period
Vilardi
Guentzel
P1
41.7%
62.5%
P2
55.6%
50.0%
P3
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
46.0%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
50.0%