Scouting Report
Gabriel Vilardi holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 49.6% vs Guentzel 46.9% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 58.5%
Defensive zone
Vilardi 52.6%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 55.6%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Vilardi
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (113)
46.1% (256)
-1.9%
Power Play
64.1% (39)
47.5% (122)
+16.6%
On power play, Vilardi has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Vilardi is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Vilardi shoots right. Guentzel is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Guentzel
Home
38.5% (39)
49.3% (201)
Away
53.1% (113)
42.6% (183)
By Period
Vilardi
Guentzel
P1
52.6%
49.6%
P2
35.3%
45.6%
P3
61.4%
41.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
49.3%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.1%