Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 47.6% vs Hertl 52.3% (-6.7%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 62.8%
Defensive zone
Hertl 57.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 53.1%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Vilardi
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (101)
51.6% (1,084)
-5.1%
Power Play
43.3% (30)
61.0% (246)
-17.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Vilardi is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Vilardi shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Hertl
Home
51.6% (64)
55.2% (696)
Away
40.3% (67)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Vilardi
Hertl
P1
48.9%
55.4%
P2
42.9%
54.8%
P3
45.2%
48.9%
Final 5 min
41.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%