Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 47.9% vs Hertl 54.5% (-8.8%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 52.8%
Defensive zone
Hertl 63.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 58.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Vilardi
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (81)
54.1% (1,117)
-9.7%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
59.8% (296)
-9.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Vilardi is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Vilardi shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Hertl
Home
44.8% (58)
54.3% (709)
Away
47.3% (55)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Vilardi
Hertl
P1
41.7%
51.6%
P2
55.6%
53.6%
P3
42.9%
58.6%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
46.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%