Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 48.4% vs Hertl 56.8% (-11.7%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 55.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 73.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 59.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Vilardi
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (41)
57.0% (718)
-0.9%
Power Play
22.2% (18)
64.9% (188)
-42.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Vilardi is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Vilardi shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Hertl
Home
46.9% (32)
59.2% (463)
Away
44.4% (27)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Vilardi
Hertl
P1
57.1%
56.3%
P2
40.0%
55.4%
P3
38.5%
60.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%