Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundeström wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.0% vs Tavares 59.8% (-16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 81.4%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 75.6%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 50.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 81.4%
18.6%
81.4%
Lundeström
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lundeström
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Lundeström
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (785)
60.9% (1,043)
-15.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
60.4% (278)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (85)
47.6% (21)
-11.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lundeström is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Lundeström shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Tavares
Home
45.8% (428)
63.5% (684)
Away
43.2% (451)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Lundeström
Tavares
P1
48.6%
60.3%
P2
46.5%
60.4%
P3
37.8%
60.1%
OT
50.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |