Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Lundeström wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.5% vs Tavares 57.7% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundeström 50.1%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 92.9%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 75.4%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Lundeström
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Lundeström
Tavares
Last 9: Lundeström 2-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
6
Lundeström
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lundeström
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (626)
57.7% (998)
-7.4%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
60.5% (271)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (300)
56.4% (39)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lundeström is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Lundeström shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Tavares
Home
48.4% (504)
59.7% (610)
Away
45.8% (432)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Lundeström
Tavares
P1
50.2%
57.2%
P2
43.5%
58.5%
P3
47.8%
59.4%
OT
71.4%
46.7%
Final 5 min
43.4%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 12:08 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |