Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.3% vs Tavares 58.7% (-15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 72.8%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 80.3%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 65.2%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Lundeström
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lundeström
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Lundeström
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Lundeström
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (278)
59.2% (1,035)
-11.4%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
60.0% (310)
-28.7%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (92)
42.9% (7)
-8.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lundeström is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Lundeström shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Tavares
Home
46.3% (190)
57.5% (668)
Away
41.8% (196)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Lundeström
Tavares
P1
40.2%
58.0%
P2
44.3%
60.1%
P3
47.4%
61.0%
Final 5 min
37.0%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
44.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2024 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |