Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundeström on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundeström wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.2% vs Tavares 57.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 77.1%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 72.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.2%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Lundeström
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lundeström
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Lundeström
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
1
Lundeström
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (209)
58.0% (914)
-4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
57.0% (235)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
57.9% (19)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lundeström is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (147).
Lundeström shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Tavares
Home
50.0% (136)
57.8% (614)
Away
57.3% (103)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Lundeström
Tavares
P1
53.2%
58.0%
P2
54.8%
56.9%
P3
51.9%
58.4%
OT
0.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 15:06 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |